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Results for stuttgart state criminal police office

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Author: Gerstner, Dominik

Title: Predictive Policing Als Instrument Zur Pravention von Wohnungseinbruchdiebstahl: Evaluationsergebenisse zum Baden-Wurttembergischen Pilotprojekt P4 (Predictive Policing As an Instrument To Prevent Burglary Theft: Evaluation results for the Baden-Wurttembe

Summary: The pilot project Predictive Policing P4 was conducted by the Baden-Württemberg police under the direction of the Stuttgart State Criminal Police Office against the background of a significant increase in apartment burglaries. The computer software PRECOBS of the institute for pattern-based forecasting technology from Oberhausen was used, which predicts increased probabilities of future burglary after an alarm-inducing break-in for certain areas. The project included an external scientific evaluation by the Freiburg Max Planck Institute for Foreign and International Criminal Law. In addition to the analysis of process-generated data with a focus on the effectiveness of the forecasting software, an online survey with approx. 700 participants as well as expert interviews were conducted. The present report refers to the evaluation period from 30.10.2015 to 30.04.2016. The extent to which predictive policing can contribute to the prevention of dips in housing and to a trend reversal in case development is difficult to assess even after the evaluation, despite some positive indications. Nevertheless, the many individual results in this report make some relevant conclusions. Full text: https://www.mpicc.de/files/pdf4/rib_50_gerstner_2017.pdf

Details: Breisgau, Germany: Max Planck Institute, 2017. 107p.

Source: Internet Resource (in German): Accessed January 16, 2019 at: https://www.mpicc.de/files/pdf4/rib_50_gerstner_2017.pdf

Year: 2017

Country: Germany

URL: https://pure.mpg.de/pubman/faces/ViewItemOverviewPage.jsp?itemId=item_2498917

Shelf Number: 154212

Keywords:
Apartment Burglaries
Burglaries
Evaluation
Germany
Police
Predictive Policing
Project Evaluation
Stuttgart State Criminal Police Office