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Results for unemployment and crime123092

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Author: Nunley, John M.

Title: The Impact of Macroeconomic Conditions on Property Crime

Summary: This paper examines the impact of inflation, (un)employment, and stock market growth on the rates of larceny, burglary, motor vehicle theft, and robbery. The study uses U.S. data for the time period 1948 to 2009. We employ an unobserved component approach to circumvent the problems associated with omitted variables. We find that the three macroeconomic variables have a statistically significant impact for most of the property crime rates. However, taken together the macroeconomic variables explain no more than 15 percent of the surge in property crimes from the 1960 to the 1980s and their subsequent fall during the 1990s. Among the macroeconomic variables, almost all of the explanatory power is provided by changes in the inflation rate.

Details: Auburn, AL: Auburn University, 2011. 35p. Department of Economics

Source: Internet Resource: Auburn University
Department of Economics
Working Paper Series: Accessed October 22, 2011 at: http://cla.auburn.edu/econwp/Archives/2011/2011-06.pdf

Year: 0

Country: United States

URL: http://cla.auburn.edu/econwp/Archives/2011/2011-06.pdf

Shelf Number: 123092

Keywords:
Burglary
Economics and Crime
Larceny
Motor Vehicle Theft
Property Crime
Robbery
Unemployment and Crime123092