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Date: November 25, 2024 Mon

Time: 8:25 pm

Results for voting behavior

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Author: Drago, Francesco

Title: The Political Cost of Being Soft on Crime: Evidence from a Natural Experiment

Summary: We provide evidence about voters' response to crime control policies. We exploit a natural experiment arising from the Italian 2006 collective pardon releasing about one third of the prison population. The pardon created idiosyncratic incentives to recidivate across released individuals and municipalities. We show that municipalities where resident pardoned individuals have a higher incentive to recidivate experienced higher recidivism. Moreover, in these municipalities: i) newspapers were more likely to report crime news involving pardoned individuals; ii) voters held worse beliefs on the incumbent governments ability to control crime and iii) with respect to the previous elections, the incumbent national government experienced a worse electoral performance in the April 2008 national elections relative to the opposition coalition. Overall, our findings indicate that voters keep incumbent politicians accountable by conditioning their vote on the observed effects of their policies.

Details: Unpublished paper, 2017. 54p.

Source: Internet Resource: CESifo Working Paper Series No. 6532: Accessed October 3, 2017 at: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2875317

Year: 2017

Country: Italy

URL: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2875317

Shelf Number: 147531

Keywords:
Politics and Crime
Recidivism
Voting Behavior